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| Font: A A A | Product FAQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FXUS66 KMTR 041128 AFDMTR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION This National Weather Service product is intended to provide a well-reasoned discussion of the meteorological thinking which went into the preparation of the Zone Forecast Product. The forecaster will try to focus on the most particular challenges of the forecast. The text will be written in plain language or in proper contractions. At the end of the discussion, there will be a list of all advisor...Click for More... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE An agency of the Federal Government within the Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and AtmosphericClick for More... SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA CACA CaliforniaClick for More... 427 AM PDT SATSAT 1.Satellite (imagery) 2.SaturdayClick for More... JUL 4 2009 .DISCUSSION...AS OF 3:40 AM PDT SATURDAY...FOGFOG (abbrev. F) Fog is water droplets suspended in the air at the Earth's surface. Fog is often hazardous when the visibility is reduced to ¼ mile or less.Click for More... PRODUCT IMAGERY LOOKS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE LAST COUPLE OF MORNINGS. STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... COVERS THE COAST...BAYS...AND INTO THE VALLEYS. THE FORT ORD PROFILER IS INDCINDC IndicateClick for More... THAT THE MARINE INVERSIONMARINE INVERSION Temperature inversion produced when cold marine air underlies warmer air.Click for More... IS AROUND 1800 FTFT Feet (or foot)Click for More... . TEMPSTEMPS TemperaturesClick for More... THIS MORNING ARE MAINLY IN THE 50S...WITH 60S AND 70S ABOVE THE MARINE INVERSIONMARINE INVERSION Temperature inversion produced when cold marine air underlies warmer air.Click for More... IN THE HILLS. THE GRADIENTGRADIENT (abbrev. GRAD) A rate of change with respect to distance of a variable quantity, as temperature or pressure, in the direction of maximum change.Click for More... PATTERN IS ALSO LITTLE CHANGED...ONLY A 0.8 MBMB MillibarClick for More... NORTHERLY GRADIENTGRADIENT (abbrev. GRAD) A rate of change with respect to distance of a variable quantity, as temperature or pressure, in the direction of maximum change.Click for More... BETWEEN ARCATA-SFO AND A MODERATE 3.3 MBMB MillibarClick for More... ONSHORE GRADIENTGRADIENT (abbrev. GRAD) A rate of change with respect to distance of a variable quantity, as temperature or pressure, in the direction of maximum change.Click for More... BETWEEN SFO-SAC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS INDCINDC IndicateClick for More... A SLOWLY DEEPENING TROFTROF TroughClick for More... CROSSING 140 WW WestClick for More... . THIS TROFTROF TroughClick for More... WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE COAST THIS WEEKEND...THEN BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE COAST. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY COOLER TEMPSTEMPS TemperaturesClick for More... THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. INLAND AREAS WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES IN LIVERMORE WILL BE MORE LIKE LATE MAY THAN EARLY JULY. WITH THE ONSHORE FLOWONSHORE FLOW Occurs when air moves from sea to land, and is usually associated wtih increased moisture.Click for More... ...STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... WILL BE PREVALENT ALONG THE COAST...AND INTO THE VALLEYS DURING THE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE 00Z ECMWFECMWF European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Operational references in forecast discussions typically refer to the ECMWF's medium-range numerical forecast model, which runs out to 10 days.Click for More... AND THE 06Z GFSGFS Global Forecast System - One of the operational forecast models run at NCEP. The GFS is run four times daily, with forecast output out to 384 hours.Click for More... BOTH INDCINDC IndicateClick for More... WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVING BACK INTO THE DISTRICT THE END OF THE WEEK...AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGERIDGE An elongated area of relatively high atmospheric pressure; the opposite of trough.Click for More... BUILDS NORTHWEST FROM THE DESERT SWSW SouthwestClick for More... . INLAND TEMPSTEMPS TemperaturesClick for More... BY NEXT WEEKEND COULD BE ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...THIS LOOKS TO BE SHORT-LIVED AS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BRING YET ANOTHER TROFTROF TroughClick for More... TO THE WEST COAST...WITH THE 06Z GFSGFS Global Forecast System - One of the operational forecast models run at NCEP. The GFS is run four times daily, with forecast output out to 384 hours.Click for More... MORE BULLISH ON THAT SCENARIO. && .AVIATION...AS OF 4:26 AM SATURDAY...WIDESPREAD STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... COVERS ALL TERMINALS THIS MORNING. THE MARINE LAYER IS A TOUCH DEEPER THAN YESTERDAY AND IS APPROX AT 2K FEET WITH INCREASED SFO-SAC GRADIENTGRADIENT (abbrev. GRAD) A rate of change with respect to distance of a variable quantity, as temperature or pressure, in the direction of maximum change.Click for More... OF 3 PLUS MBMB MillibarClick for More... . THAT BEING SAID...THINK BURN OFF TIMES THIS MORNING WILL BE A LITTLE LATER THAN YESTERDAY. VICINITY OF KSFO...WIDESPREAD CIGS COVER THE BAY AT 1100-1400 FEET. BURN OFF THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN 17-18Z. 18Z MAY BE THE BETTER BET WITH THE INCREASED ONSHORE FLOWONSHORE FLOW Occurs when air moves from sea to land, and is usually associated wtih increased moisture.Click for More... . AFTERNOON GUSTY NWNW NorthwestClick for More... WINDS WILL BE POSS AT KSFO. STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... WILL MOVE IN AGAIN TONIGHT WITH SIMILAR RESULTS. KSFO BRIDGE APPROACH...CIGS AND BURN OFF TIME WILL BE SIMILAR TO KSFO. MONTEREY BAY TERMINALS...STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... OVER MRY AND SNS THROUGH 18-19Z. STRATUSSTRATUS A low, generally gray cloud layer with a fairly uniform base. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. Fog usually is a surface-based form of stratus.Click for More... WILL ONCE AGAIN MAKE AN EARLY RETURN TONIGHT. && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .TDA...SCA...SF BAY STARTING AT 11 AM. &&
PUBLIC FORECAST: MHS AVIATION/MARINE: MM NWSNWS National Weather Service. An agency of the Federal Government within the Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and AtmosphericClick for More... ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO